Jul 27, 2022
Covers sports betting preview written by Jason Logan: https://www.covers.com/nfl/houston-texans-season-betting-preview-2022
Circa Millions Contest Details: Circa | Sports Million IV Pro Football Contest - Circa | Sports (circasports.com)
1. The Texans second highest paid skill position player in 2022 is a fullback. Not sure much more needs to be said about roster consruction.
2. The optimism around Davis Mills for how he finished the season in 2021 is warranted, but the connection to Pep Hamilton and assumed success as Pep steps into the OC role may be a stretch too far.
3. The accolades are there! Pep coached Andrew Luck in college, took the job with Indianapolis when Luck was drafted and got to the AFC Championship, then coached Justin Herbert in his breakout rookie campaign.
4. But, I have bigger questions! If he was as great as listed, why was there a three year span recently out of the league? No NFL team wanted him. He ended up in the failed XFL experiment. For two decades he has been promoted, but ultimately fails. Is that going to be different under Lovie Smith?
5. The Texans will play a west coast style offense that supports short passes, and with the lack of WR depth, deep downfield passes are unlikely to be the norm. So where does that leave sports bettors? The market has adjusted down for the Texans in every market, and they are listed as underdogs in every game.
6. Value in backing Houston will be rare in 2022, as this team looks poised to have a peak of 5 wins.