Jul 29, 2022
Covers sports betting preview written by Jason Logan: https://www.covers.com/nfl/new-york-jets-season-betting-preview-2022
Circa Millions Contest Details: Circa | Sports Million IV Pro Football Contest - Circa | Sports (circasports.com)
1. Can 2021 be considered a throw away season? Rookie QB starting week 1, new coaching staff across the board and second most games lost to starters on injury? 2. Wilson was horrendous, finishing worse than 32nd in five major passing categories, and how poor he played remains a big talking point among betting previews. But how much was situation based? 3. Mike Lafleur is a SF/Shanahan coaching and passing game guy. His offenses are extremely structure based, where the QB is expected to work within the offense, and not out of it. Wilson had to become an entirely new QB, that went from relying on his athleticism, to relying on his reads and play knowledge, making quick, short throws. 4. On quick (sub league avg release times), short throws 5+ yards downfield, Wilson actually led the league in accuracy, and ranked 14th or better in success rate, YPA and EPA/att. NYJ built around that this offseason, drafting Wilson, adding big targets in Conklin/Uzomah, and keeping Carter/Moore. A lot more efficiency and balls in playmakers hands coming in 2022. 5. The Jets were last in every meaningful defensive metric last season, despite facing the 4th easiest schedule of opposing offenses. This season the schedule jumps up to average difficulty overall and above average for opposing QB’s. But these 2021 numbers are misleading and the schedule will be much more difficult than projected. 6. Lamar, Burrow, Rodgers, Cousins, Allen x2 are all top 10 QB’s. But NE x2 and MIA x2 are much improved offenses compared to 2021 and JAX/DET are each expected to take offensive leaps too. Outside of PIT, CHI and SEA, there are no easy outs for this league worst defense a year ago relying on rookies for a boost.