Jul 25, 2022
Preview Start: 5:20
Jason Logan Seattle Seahawks Preview: Seattle Seahawks Odds, Picks & Betting Preview 2022 (covers.com)
Circa Millions Contest: Circa | Sports Million IV Pro Football Contest - Circa | Sports (circasports.com)
Is Drew Lock in 2022 on trajectory for Jameis Winston in 2019? Three seasons ago, Jameis Winston threw 33 touchdowns and 30 interceptions enroute to the Buccaneers playing over their posted total in 12 of 16 games. The boom or bust play of Winston put points on the scoreboard - both ways - quickly, but he an Lock share similarities in their playing style. With an average posted total this season 10 points lower than the '19 Buccaneers, this could be intriguing for bettors.
1. In his last full season of play, Drew Lock had the third highest intended air yards in the league, combined one of the highest aggressive throw percentages. He is not scared to throw the ball down field when trailing - and Seattle will be trailing, often.
2. The only roster area Seattle ranks inside the top 7 as a consensus ranking is wide receiver. DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett are dynamic downfield targets for Lock to throw at. The third option of Dee Eskridge with his speed is worth noting too.
3. The Seattle defense is likely to be one of the worst 5-6 units in the entire league with weaknesses up front (bottom 2-3) and in the secondary (bottom 3-4). This is not a team built to shut down opposing offenses, especially on short fields.
4. The combination of Lock's willingness to throw downfield to dynamic wide receivers and the defenses inability to get stops, should lead to lots of boom or bust throw attempts (explosive passes or INT's) which are condusive to points.
5. Considering Seattle is priced in projections as a low 40's total team (41-43) these are not numbers that are set to sustain a lot of variance and due to how low they are, could make the Seahawks a sneaky over team in 2022.